AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Alef Feb 12, 2026

Tzeirey Tira

Home
VS
13:00

Nordia Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Tzeirey Tira Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Nordia Jerusalem Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.96 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tzeirey Tira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Nordia Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Tzeirey Tira Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Tzeirey T… vs Hapoel He… 1-0
Jan 23 Tzeirey T… vs Maccabi K… 2-1
Jan 16 Tzeirey T… vs Beitar Ya… 0-1
Jan 09 Tzeirey T… vs Hapoel Ma… 0-0
Jan 06 Tzeirey T… vs Hapoel Az… 0-3
Jan 01 Tzeirey T… vs FC Jerusa… 2-0
Dec 18 Tzeirey T… vs Holon Yer… 1-3
Dec 12 Tzeirey T… vs Hapoel Ra… 0-2
Dec 06 Tzeirey T… vs Kfar Saba… 3-0
Nov 28 Tzeirey T… vs Maccabi Y… 1-2
Nordia Jerusalem Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Nordia Je… vs Kfar Saba… 2-1
Jan 23 Nordia Je… vs Maccabi Y… 1-1
Jan 17 Nordia Je… vs Shimshon … 1-1
Jan 09 Nordia Je… vs Maccabi K… 2-0
Jan 06 Nordia Je… vs Dimona 0-2
Dec 31 Nordia Je… vs Holon Yer… 1-2
Dec 19 Nordia Je… vs Maccabi A… 3-3
Dec 12 Nordia Je… vs Hapoel He… 3-0
Dec 05 Nordia Je… vs Maccabi K… 2-1
Nov 27 Nordia Je… vs Beitar Ya… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nordia Jerusalem struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tzeirey Tira to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Tzeirey Tira Power 0
Nordia Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tzeirey Tira Position

+10

Position Gap

16

Nordia Jerusalem Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.