AI Match Insights
Primeira Liga Nov 10, 2024
Benfica
HomeVS
20:45
FC Porto
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Benfica Win
Draw
FC Porto Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.25 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (10%)
1-0 (5%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Benfica Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 03 | Benfica vs Académico… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Benfica vs Farense | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Benfica vs Santa Cla… | 3-0 |
| Oct 27 | Benfica vs Rio Ave FC | 5-0 |
| Oct 27 | Benfica vs Rio Ave FC | 5-0 |
| Oct 06 | Benfica vs Chaves | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Benfica vs Minija | 5-0 |
| Sep 30 | Benfica vs Sporting … | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Benfica vs GIL Vicen… | 5-1 |
| Sep 23 | Benfica vs Boavista | 0-3 |
FC Porto Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 09 | FC Porto vs Rubin Kaz… | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | FC Porto vs CSKA Mosc… | 0-1 |
| Nov 03 | FC Porto vs Estoril | 4-0 |
| Nov 03 | FC Porto vs Estoril | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | FC Porto vs Spartak M… | 3-1 |
| Oct 31 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | FC Porto vs AVS | 0-5 |
| Oct 28 | FC Porto vs AVS | 0-5 |
| Oct 27 | FC Porto vs Leixões SC | 3-0 |
| Oct 23 | FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Benfica in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2024 | Benfica | 5 - 2 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5 - 0 | Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5 - 0 | Benfica | Pro League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto | 0 - 3 | Benfica | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Benfica | 1 - 0 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 09, 2023 | Benfica | 2 - 0 | FC Porto | Super Cup |
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3 - 1 | Benfica | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Benfica | 1 - 2 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Benfica | 2 - 2 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Porto | 0 - 1 | Benfica | Primeira Liga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Benfica Power
0
FC Porto Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Benfica Position-2
Position Gap1
FC Porto Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.