AI Match Insights
Iraqi League May 07, 2025
Al Zawra'a
HomeVS
17:30
Zakho
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al Zawra'a Win
Draw
Zakho Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
Combined: 53%
Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.54 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Zawra'a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
Al Zawra'a Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 02 | Al Zawra'a vs Zakho | 0-0 |
| May 01 | Al Zawra'a vs Al Quwa A… | 2-2 |
| Apr 17 | Al Zawra'a vs Al-Talaba | 1-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al Zawra'a vs Naft Mays… | 2-0 |
| Apr 03 | Al Zawra'a vs Duhok | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Al Zawra'a vs Erbil | 4-0 |
| Mar 08 | Al Zawra'a vs Al Najaf | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Al Zawra'a vs Diyala | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Al Zawra'a vs Al Zawra'a | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Al Zawra'a vs Newroz | 1-1 |
Zakho Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 02 | Zakho vs Al Zawra'a | 0-0 |
| Apr 16 | Zakho vs Naft Mays… | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Zakho vs Duhok | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Zakho vs Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Zakho vs Al Minaa … | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Zakho vs Al Najaf | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Zakho vs Naft Mays… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Zakho vs Al Zawra'a | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | Zakho vs Al Karkh | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Zakho vs Al-Karma | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al Zawra'a struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2025 | Zakho | 0 - 0 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Zakho | 0 - 1 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Al Zawra'a | 2 - 3 | Zakho | Iraqi League |
| May 18, 2024 | Al Zawra'a | 1 - 1 | Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Al Zawra'a | 1 - 3 | Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Zakho | 1 - 0 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Zakho | 0 - 2 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| May 05, 2023 | Zakho | 2 - 0 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Apr 03, 2023 | Zakho | 1 - 1 | Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Dec 05, 2022 | Al Zawra'a | 1 - 0 | Zakho | Iraqi League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al Zawra'a Power
0
Zakho Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Al Zawra'a Position+2
Position Gap8
Zakho Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.