AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Dec 31, 2023

Zakho

Home
VS
11:30

Al Zawra'a

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Zakho Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Al Zawra'a Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.41 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al Zawra'a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Zakho Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Zakho vs Al Karkh 0-1
Dec 14 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 0-0
Nov 04 Zakho vs Duhok 0-0
Oct 31 Zakho vs Al Najaf 1-1
May 24 Zakho vs Duhok 1-1
May 11 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 2-2
May 05 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Apr 18 Zakho vs Al Najaf 3-1
Apr 03 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Mar 12 Zakho vs Al Karkh 1-0
Al Zawra'a Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 27 Al Zawra'a vs Al Quwa A… 2-2
Dec 23 Al Zawra'a vs Naft Mays… 1-0
Dec 23 Al Zawra'a vs Erbil 0-1
Dec 20 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Qasim … 3-3
Dec 16 Al Zawra'a vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Dec 08 Al Zawra'a vs Duhok 3-0
Dec 02 Al Zawra'a vs Al Najaf 0-0
Nov 24 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Talaba 2-0
Nov 11 Al Zawra'a vs Naft 2-2
Nov 02 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 05, 2023 Zakho 2 - 0 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Apr 03, 2023 Zakho 1 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Dec 05, 2022 Al Zawra'a 1 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
Oct 19, 2022 Al Zawra'a 2 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
May 12, 2022 Al Zawra'a 2 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
Apr 21, 2022 Zakho 0 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Dec 12, 2021 Zakho 0 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Nov 16, 2021 Al Zawra'a 0 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
May 11, 2021 Zakho 1 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Apr 09, 2021 Al Zawra'a 1 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zakho Power 0
Al Zawra'a Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Zakho Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Al Zawra'a Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.