AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Dec 08, 2024

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
13:30

Ajax

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AZ Alkmaar Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Ajax Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 0.67 - 1.94
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
AZ Alkmaar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles 1-0
Nov 24 AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
Nov 10 AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II 1-2
Nov 02 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord 3-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… 1-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… 1-2
Oct 06 AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna S… 1-0
Oct 06 AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna S… 1-0
Ajax Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Ajax vs Utrecht 2-2
Dec 04 Ajax vs Utrecht 2-2
Dec 01 Ajax vs Nijmegen 1-2
Nov 24 Ajax vs Zwolle 2-0
Nov 10 Ajax vs FC Twente 2-2
Nov 02 Ajax vs PSV Eindh… 3-2
Oct 30 Ajax vs Feyenoord 0-2
Oct 30 Ajax vs Feyenoord 0-2
Oct 27 Ajax vs Willem II 1-0
Oct 24 Ajax vs QarabaÄŸ FK 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Ajax Eredivisie
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Ajax Pro League
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Ajax Eredivisie
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 Ajax Eredivisie
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 2 Ajax KNVB Beker
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AZ Alkmaar Power 0
Ajax Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

AZ Alkmaar Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Ajax Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.