AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 11, 2026

Grêmio Prudente

Home
VS
22:30

Monte Azul

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Grêmio Prudente Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Monte Azul Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.84 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Grêmio Prudente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Monte Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Grêmio Prudente Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Grêmio Pr… vs Votuporan… 0-0
Jan 28 Grêmio Pr… vs XV de Pir… 0-0
Jan 24 Grêmio Pr… vs Juventude 1-2
Jan 21 Grêmio Pr… vs Sertãozin… 1-1
Jan 17 Grêmio Pr… vs Oeste 2-2
Jan 14 Grêmio Pr… vs São José … 2-1
Jan 10 Grêmio Pr… vs Ituano 1-1
Sep 28 Grêmio Pr… vs Primavera… 2-1
Sep 20 Grêmio Pr… vs Primavera… 1-0
Sep 13 Grêmio Pr… vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Monte Azul Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 2-0
Jan 28 Monte Azul vs Votuporan… 2-3
Jan 24 Monte Azul vs São José … 1-1
Jan 21 Monte Azul vs São Berna… 0-1
Jan 18 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 0-1
Jan 14 Monte Azul vs Santo And… 0-4
Jan 11 Monte Azul vs Inter De … 1-1
Aug 31 Monte Azul vs Maracanaú… 1-2
Aug 24 Monte Azul vs Maracanaú… 1-1
Aug 16 Monte Azul vs Oeste 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monte Azul struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2025 Monte Azul 1 - 1 Grêmio Prudente Copa Paulista
Jun 14, 2025 Grêmio Prudente 3 - 1 Monte Azul Copa Paulista
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Grêmio Prudente Power 0
Monte Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Grêmio Prudente Position

-4

Position Gap

10

Monte Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.