AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 11, 2026

Sertãozinho

Home
VS
22:00

São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sertãozinho Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
São Bernardo Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sertãozinho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Sertãozinho Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sertãozin… vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 28 Sertãozin… vs Oeste 1-2
Jan 24 Sertãozin… vs Água Santa 3-1
Jan 21 Sertãozin… vs Grêmio Pr… 1-1
Jan 17 Sertãozin… vs Votuporan… 0-0
Jan 14 Sertãozin… vs XV de Pir… 3-4
Jan 10 Sertãozin… vs Taubaté 0-0
Apr 12 Sertãozin… vs Monte Azul 1-1
Apr 09 Sertãozin… vs Monte Azul 3-1
Apr 04 Sertãozin… vs Marcílio … 1-0
São Bernardo Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 São Berna… vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Feb 01 São Berna… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 28 São Berna… vs São José … 0-1
Jan 25 São Berna… vs Ituano 2-1
Jan 24 São Berna… vs Mirassol 0-4
Jan 22 São Berna… vs Ponte Pre… 0-1
Jan 21 São Berna… vs Monte Azul 0-1
Jan 18 São Berna… vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 17 São Berna… vs Água Santa 3-0
Jan 16 São Berna… vs São Paulo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • São Bernardo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 26, 2025 Sertãozinho 0 - 0 São Bernardo Paulista - A3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sertãozinho to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Sertãozinho Power 0
São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.