AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 11, 2026

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
19:45

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Kilmarnock Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
St. Mirren Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.19 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Kilmarnock Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 5-1
Jan 31 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 3-0
Jan 24 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 4-0
Jan 17 Kilmarnock vs Dundee 1-2
Jan 10 Kilmarnock vs Livingston 1-1
Jan 03 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-3
Dec 30 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Dec 27 Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 0-0
Dec 20 Kilmarnock vs Falkirk 0-1
Dec 14 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 2-1
St. Mirren Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-0
Jan 31 St. Mirren vs Dundee 0-0
Jan 20 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-1
Jan 17 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-1
Jan 14 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-0
Jan 10 St. Mirren vs Falkirk 0-2
Jan 03 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 2-0
Dec 30 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 2-1
Dec 27 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Dec 20 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kilmarnock struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 27, 2025 St. Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock Premiership
Oct 04, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 19, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 2 St. Mirren League Cup
Mar 29, 2025 St. Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kilmarnock Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Kilmarnock Position

-2

Position Gap

9

St. Mirren Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.