AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 11, 2026

Celtic

Home
VS
19:45

Livingston

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Celtic Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Livingston Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Celtic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Celtic vs Falkirk 2-0
Jan 29 Celtic vs Utrecht 0-0
Jan 25 Celtic vs Heart of … 2-2
Jan 22 Celtic vs Bologna 2-2
Jan 18 Celtic vs Auchinlec… 0-2
Jan 14 Celtic vs Falkirk 0-1
Jan 10 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 4-0
Jan 03 Celtic vs Rangers FC 1-3
Dec 30 Celtic vs Motherwell 2-0
Dec 27 Celtic vs Livingston 2-4
Livingston Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Livingston vs Falkirk 1-2
Jan 31 Livingston vs Motherwell 0-2
Jan 24 Livingston vs Aberdeen 6-2
Jan 20 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-1
Jan 17 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-1
Jan 10 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Jan 03 Livingston vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 30 Livingston vs Dundee Utd 1-3
Dec 27 Livingston vs Celtic 2-4
Dec 20 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Livingston struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 27, 2025 Livingston 2 - 4 Celtic Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Mar 31, 2024 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 10, 2024 Celtic 4 - 2 Livingston FA Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Celtic 2 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Sep 23, 2023 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Feb 01, 2023 Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Dec 21, 2022 Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston Premiership
Oct 30, 2022 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 06, 2022 Livingston 1 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Celtic to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celtic Power 0
Livingston Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Celtic Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Livingston Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.