AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 11, 2026

Falkirk

Home
VS
19:45

Dundee

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Falkirk Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dundee Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.60 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Dundee Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Falkirk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Falkirk vs Livingston 1-2
Feb 01 Falkirk vs Celtic 2-0
Jan 24 Falkirk vs Hibernian 4-1
Jan 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 1-1
Jan 14 Falkirk vs Celtic 0-1
Jan 10 Falkirk vs St. Mirren 0-2
Jan 03 Falkirk vs Aberdeen 1-0
Dec 27 Falkirk vs Dundee 1-0
Dec 20 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 13 Falkirk vs Heart of … 0-2
Dundee Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dundee vs St. Mirren 0-0
Jan 25 Dundee vs Rangers FC 3-0
Jan 17 Dundee vs Kilmarnock 1-2
Jan 11 Dundee vs Heart of … 0-1
Jan 03 Dundee vs Dundee Utd 0-1
Dec 30 Dundee vs Kilmarnock 2-1
Dec 27 Dundee vs Falkirk 1-0
Dec 20 Dundee vs Motherwell 1-0
Dec 13 Dundee vs Livingston 2-2
Dec 06 Dundee vs Aberdeen 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 27, 2025 Dundee 1 - 0 Falkirk Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 Falkirk 2 - 1 Dundee Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Falkirk to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Falkirk Power 0
Dundee Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Falkirk Position

+4

Position Gap

10

Dundee Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.