AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Feb 12, 2026

FC Thun

Home
VS
19:30

Lausanne

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Lausanne Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.38 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Lausanne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
FC Thun Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 FC Thun vs FC Basel … 0-0
Jan 25 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 4-1
Jan 18 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-3
Dec 20 FC Thun vs FC Zurich 4-2
Dec 16 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 1-4
Dec 13 FC Thun vs FC St. Ga… 0-2
Dec 06 FC Thun vs FC Luzern 4-1
Nov 30 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-1
Nov 22 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 0-1
Nov 21 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-2
Lausanne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Lausanne vs FC Winter… 2-1
Jan 24 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Jan 17 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 1-3
Jan 14 Lausanne vs Servette … 0-1
Dec 21 Lausanne vs FC Luzern 0-4
Dec 14 Lausanne vs FC Basel … 0-0
Dec 11 Lausanne vs KuPS 0-0
Dec 07 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 0-0
Dec 03 Lausanne vs Yverdon S… 2-1
Nov 30 Lausanne vs FC Thun 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Thun in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Lausanne 2 - 1 FC Thun Super League
Aug 03, 2025 FC Thun 2 - 1 Lausanne Super League
Mar 20, 2025 Lausanne 2 - 2 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Jan 05, 2025 Lausanne 3 - 0 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
May 19, 2023 FC Thun 3 - 3 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2023 Lausanne 1 - 3 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Jan 21, 2023 Lausanne 4 - 1 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Oct 21, 2022 Lausanne 2 - 1 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Sep 02, 2022 FC Thun 2 - 0 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Jul 09, 2022 FC Thun 0 - 1 Lausanne Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
Lausanne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Thun Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Lausanne Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.