AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Feb 11, 2026

FC Lugano

Home
VS
19:30

Servette FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Servette FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.22 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.6 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
FC Lugano Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Jan 24 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 4-1
Jan 17 FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 2-5
Jan 05 FC Lugano vs FC Koln 1-2
Dec 21 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 3-0
Dec 17 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 0-1
Dec 14 FC Lugano vs Servette … 4-2
Dec 07 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 0-0
Nov 29 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 1-1
Nov 26 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 1-3
Servette FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Servette … vs FC Sion 3-3
Jan 25 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 2-4
Jan 18 Servette … vs FC Zurich 1-1
Jan 14 Servette … vs Lausanne 0-1
Dec 20 Servette … vs FC Basel … 1-1
Dec 14 Servette … vs FC Lugano 4-2
Dec 06 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 0-1
Nov 30 Servette … vs BSC Young… 4-4
Nov 22 Servette … vs FC Luzern 2-2
Nov 08 Servette … vs FC Thun 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lugano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2025 FC Lugano 4 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Oct 26, 2025 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
May 15, 2025 Servette FC 4 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Mar 29, 2025 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Dec 01, 2024 Servette FC 3 - 0 FC Lugano Super League
Aug 03, 2024 FC Lugano 3 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Jun 02, 2024 Servette FC 0 - 0 FC Lugano Schweizer Pokal
May 25, 2024 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Feb 18, 2024 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power 0
Servette FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FC Lugano Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Servette FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.