AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Jan 24, 2026

FC Lugano

Home
VS
17:00

FC Winterthur

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
FC Winterthur Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 3.26 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.8 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
FC Winterthur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
FC Lugano Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 2-5
Jan 05 FC Lugano vs FC Koln 1-2
Dec 21 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 3-0
Dec 17 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 0-1
Dec 14 FC Lugano vs Servette … 4-2
Dec 07 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 0-0
Nov 29 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 1-1
Nov 26 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 1-3
Nov 22 FC Lugano vs FC Thun 0-1
Nov 09 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 0-1
FC Winterthur Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 FC Winter… vs FC Sion 2-0
Jan 06 FC Winter… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
Dec 16 FC Winter… vs FC Thun 1-4
Dec 13 FC Winter… vs FC Zurich 2-2
Dec 07 FC Winter… vs FC Basel … 1-2
Dec 02 FC Winter… vs Stade Lau… 1-0
Nov 29 FC Winter… vs FC Luzern 1-3
Nov 22 FC Winter… vs BSC Young… 5-0
Nov 08 FC Winter… vs Grasshopp… 0-1
Nov 01 FC Winter… vs Servette … 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lugano in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 FC Winterthur 2 - 4 FC Lugano Super League
Mar 16, 2025 FC Lugano 2 - 1 FC Winterthur Super League
Jan 25, 2025 FC Winterthur 2 - 3 FC Lugano Super League
Sep 29, 2024 FC Lugano 2 - 1 FC Winterthur Super League
May 16, 2024 FC Lugano 4 - 2 FC Winterthur Super League
Apr 06, 2024 FC Winterthur 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 10, 2023 FC Lugano 2 - 1 FC Winterthur Super League
Sep 30, 2023 FC Winterthur 2 - 3 FC Lugano Super League
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2 - 1 FC Winterthur Super League
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1 - 0 FC Lugano Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power 0
FC Winterthur Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Lugano Position

+10

Position Gap

12

FC Winterthur Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.