AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 11, 2026

Rivers United FC

Home
VS
15:00

Barau FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Rivers United FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Barau FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.65 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rivers United FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Barau FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (43%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 95%
Rivers United FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Rivers Un… vs Power Dyn… 0-1
Jan 24 Rivers Un… vs Power Dyn… 0-0
Jan 18 Rivers Un… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Jan 14 Rivers Un… vs Enugu Ran… 0-0
Dec 28 Rivers Un… vs Enugu Ran… 1-0
Dec 22 Rivers Un… vs Katsina U… 1-1
Dec 19 Rivers Un… vs Barau FC 4-1
Dec 15 Rivers Un… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Dec 11 Rivers Un… vs Plateau U… 1-2
Dec 07 Rivers Un… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Barau FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Barau FC vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
Jan 29 Barau FC vs Bendel In… 0-0
Jan 25 Barau FC vs Bayelsa U… 1-1
Jan 18 Barau FC vs Enyimba 0-0
Jan 14 Barau FC vs Niger Tor… 2-1
Dec 28 Barau FC vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Dec 23 Barau FC vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Dec 19 Barau FC vs Rivers Un… 4-1
Dec 14 Barau FC vs Shooting … 0-1
Dec 07 Barau FC vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 19, 2025 Barau FC 4 - 1 Rivers United FC NPFL
Final Verdict

MASTER: Rivers United FC to win (82% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rivers United FC Power 0
Barau FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Rivers United FC Position

+14

Position Gap

16

Barau FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.