AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 11, 2026

Ikorodu City

Home
VS
15:00

Niger Tornadoes

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ikorodu City Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Niger Tornadoes Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.78 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ikorodu City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Ikorodu City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Ikorodu C… vs Barau FC 0-0
Jan 29 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 1-0
Jan 25 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Jan 18 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 1-0
Jan 14 Ikorodu C… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Dec 28 Ikorodu C… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Dec 21 Ikorodu C… vs Enugu Ran… 2-1
Dec 15 Ikorodu C… vs Katsina U… 0-0
Dec 07 Ikorodu C… vs Wikki Tou… 0-0
Nov 30 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Niger Tornadoes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Jan 29 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 0-0
Jan 25 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 2-0
Jan 18 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 2-1
Jan 14 Niger Tor… vs Barau FC 2-1
Dec 28 Niger Tor… vs Barau FC 2-0
Dec 21 Niger Tor… vs Shooting … 2-1
Dec 14 Niger Tor… vs Abia Warr… 3-0
Dec 07 Niger Tor… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Nov 29 Niger Tor… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Niger Tornadoes struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Niger Tornadoes 4 - 2 Ikorodu City NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ikorodu City to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ikorodu City Power 0
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ikorodu City Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Niger Tornadoes Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.