AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 11, 2026

Abia Warriors

Home
VS
15:00

Enugu Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Abia Warriors Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Enugu Rangers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.04 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Abia Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Enugu Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Abia Warriors Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Abia Warr… vs Katsina U… 0-0
Jan 28 Abia Warr… vs Wikki Tou… 1-1
Jan 25 Abia Warr… vs Nasarawa … 1-2
Jan 25 Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… 1-0
Jan 18 Abia Warr… vs Kano Pill… 0-1
Jan 18 Abia Warr… vs Bendel In… 3-2
Jan 14 Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… 1-0
Jan 14 Abia Warr… vs Plateau U… 1-1
Dec 28 Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Dec 28 Abia Warr… vs Plateau U… 0-1
Enugu Rangers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Enugu Ran… vs Kano Pill… 1-0
Jan 28 Enugu Ran… vs Plateau U… 2-1
Jan 25 Enugu Ran… vs Warri Wol… 4-2
Jan 19 Enugu Ran… vs Kun Khali… 1-2
Jan 14 Enugu Ran… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Dec 28 Enugu Ran… vs Rivers Un… 1-0
Dec 21 Enugu Ran… vs Ikorodu C… 2-1
Dec 13 Enugu Ran… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Dec 07 Enugu Ran… vs Bayelsa U… 4-1
Nov 30 Enugu Ran… vs Enyimba 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Enugu Rangers in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Abia Warriors 0 - 0 Enugu Rangers NPFL
Oct 08, 2025 Enugu Rangers 2 - 0 Abia Warriors NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Abia Warriors Power 0
Enugu Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Abia Warriors Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Enugu Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.