AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 11, 2026

Plateau United

Home
VS
15:00

Kwara United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Plateau United Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Kwara United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.62 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Plateau United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Plateau United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 0-0
Jan 28 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 2-1
Jan 24 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 0-0
Jan 18 Plateau U… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Jan 14 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Dec 28 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 0-1
Dec 21 Plateau U… vs Kano Pill… 2-1
Dec 14 Plateau U… vs Nasarawa … 0-0
Dec 11 Plateau U… vs Rivers Un… 1-2
Dec 07 Plateau U… vs Warri Wol… 1-0
Kwara United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Kwara Uni… vs Warri Wol… 1-0
Jan 29 Kwara Uni… vs Kun Khali… 1-0
Jan 18 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 1-0
Jan 14 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Dec 27 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 2-0
Dec 21 Kwara Uni… vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Dec 14 Kwara Uni… vs Enyimba 3-1
Dec 07 Kwara Uni… vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Nov 30 Kwara Uni… vs Barau FC 3-2
Nov 23 Kwara Uni… vs Shooting … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kwara United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2025 Kwara United 2 - 1 Plateau United NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Plateau United to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plateau United Power 0
Kwara United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Plateau United Position

+3

Position Gap

18

Kwara United Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.