AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Feb 07, 2026

Municipal Liberia

Home
VS
02:00

Puntarenas FC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Municipal Liberia Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Puntarenas FC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Liberia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Puntarenas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Municipal Liberia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 0-1
Feb 02 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-2
Jan 29 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Jan 29 Municipal… vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 25 Municipal… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Jan 23 Municipal… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Jan 19 Municipal… vs Guadalupe… 2-1
Jan 17 Municipal… vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Jan 16 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 2-2
Dec 14 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 3-0
Puntarenas FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Jan 29 Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… 2-1
Jan 25 Puntarena… vs Guadalupe… 0-0
Jan 22 Puntarena… vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 18 Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… 0-2
Jan 14 Puntarena… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Dec 06 Puntarena… vs Guadalupe… 4-0
Nov 30 Puntarena… vs Sporting … 0-0
Nov 24 Puntarena… vs Inter San… 1-1
Nov 02 Puntarena… vs Perez Zel… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Puntarenas FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2025 Municipal Liberia 0 - 0 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Aug 23, 2025 Puntarenas FC 0 - 3 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Liberia Power 0
Puntarenas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Municipal Liberia Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Puntarenas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.