AI Match Insights

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Capixaba Feb 12, 2026

Serra Talhada

Home
VS
23:00

Vitória ES

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Serra Talhada Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Vitória ES Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.33
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Serra Talhada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Vitória ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (53%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (5%) 0-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 7%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Serra Talhada Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Serra Tal… vs Porto Vit… 0-1
Jan 31 Serra Tal… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Jan 28 Serra Tal… vs Forte FC 2-0
Jan 25 Serra Tal… vs Capixaba … 3-0
Jan 22 Serra Tal… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Jan 16 Serra Tal… vs Desportiv… 3-0
Jan 13 Serra Tal… vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Oct 11 Serra Tal… vs Fortaleza 1-0
Sep 27 Serra Tal… vs Linhares 0-0
Sep 12 Serra Tal… vs Linhares 2-1
Vitória ES Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Vitória ES vs Forte FC 0-0
Feb 01 Vitória ES vs Capixaba … 2-0
Jan 30 Vitória ES vs Real Noro… 0-4
Jan 24 Vitória ES vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jan 22 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Jan 17 Vitória ES vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 14 Vitória ES vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Serra Talhada in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Vitória ES in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Serra Talhada to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Serra Talhada Power 0
Vitória ES Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Serra Talhada Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Vitória ES Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.