AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 12, 2026

Capixaba SC

Home
VS
23:00

Real Noroeste

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Capixaba SC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Real Noroeste Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capixaba SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Capixaba SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 0-2
Feb 01 Capixaba … vs Vitória ES 2-0
Jan 29 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Jan 25 Capixaba … vs Serra Tal… 3-0
Jan 23 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Jan 18 Capixaba … vs Forte FC 0-2
Jan 15 Capixaba … vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Jul 14 Capixaba … vs Real Noro… 3-1
Jul 06 Capixaba … vs Real Noro… 1-0
Jun 29 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 0-2
Real Noroeste Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 3-2
Feb 01 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Jan 30 Real Noro… vs Vitória ES 0-4
Jan 26 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Jan 22 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 1-1
Jan 18 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-2
Jan 15 Real Noro… vs Forte FC 0-2
Jul 26 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-0
Jul 19 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 0-0
Jul 14 Real Noro… vs Capixaba … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capixaba SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 14, 2025 Real Noroeste 3 - 1 Capixaba SC Copa Espírito …
Jul 06, 2025 Capixaba SC 1 - 0 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capixaba SC Power 0
Real Noroeste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Capixaba SC Position

+1

Position Gap

9

Real Noroeste Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.