AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 08, 2026

Desportiva ES

Home
VS
18:00

Capixaba SC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Desportiva ES Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Capixaba SC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.70 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Capixaba SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Desportiva ES Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Desportiv… vs Real Noro… 3-2
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 0-0
Jan 28 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Jan 24 Desportiv… vs Vitória ES 0-2
Jan 20 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 1-2
Jan 16 Desportiv… vs Serra Tal… 3-0
Jan 14 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 3-1
Nov 16 Desportiv… vs Aimoré 0-1
Nov 12 Desportiv… vs Aimoré 1-0
Nov 09 Desportiv… vs Brasil de… 1-1
Capixaba SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 0-2
Feb 01 Capixaba … vs Vitória ES 2-0
Jan 29 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Jan 25 Capixaba … vs Serra Tal… 3-0
Jan 23 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Jan 18 Capixaba … vs Forte FC 0-2
Jan 15 Capixaba … vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Jul 14 Capixaba … vs Real Noro… 3-1
Jul 06 Capixaba … vs Real Noro… 1-0
Jun 29 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capixaba SC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2024 Desportiva ES 0 - 2 Capixaba SC Capixaba B
Sep 18, 2024 Capixaba SC 7 - 0 Desportiva ES Capixaba B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva ES Power 0
Capixaba SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Desportiva ES Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Capixaba SC Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.