AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 07, 2026

Vitória ES

Home
VS
22:00

Rio Branco-VN

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Vitória ES Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Rio Branco-VN Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.66 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitória ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Vitória ES Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Vitória ES vs Forte FC 0-0
Feb 01 Vitória ES vs Capixaba … 2-0
Jan 30 Vitória ES vs Real Noro… 0-4
Jan 24 Vitória ES vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jan 22 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Jan 17 Vitória ES vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 14 Vitória ES vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Jun 14 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 09 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Mar 06 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Rio Branco-VN Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 0-1
Jan 31 Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… 1-0
Jan 29 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 2-2
Jan 25 Rio Branc… vs Forte FC 0-0
Jan 23 Rio Branc… vs Capixaba … 1-1
Jan 18 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 2-2
Jan 14 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 3-1
Aug 23 Rio Branc… vs Inter De … 0-0
Aug 16 Rio Branc… vs Inter De … 0-1
Aug 09 Rio Branc… vs Rioverden… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vitória ES in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 14, 2025 Vitória ES 2 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Copa Espírito …
Mar 09, 2025 Rio Branco-VN 0 - 0 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 06, 2025 Vitória ES 1 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Jan 29, 2025 Rio Branco-VN 1 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 31, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 23, 2024 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Mar 02, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 20, 2022 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 3 Vitória ES Capixaba
Apr 14, 2021 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitória ES Power 0
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Vitória ES Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Rio Branco-VN Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.