AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Feb 14, 2026

Paide

Home
VS
10:00

Kalju Nõmme

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Paide Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Kalju Nõmme Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.45 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paide Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kalju Nõmme Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Paide Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Paide vs Metta / LU 2-1
Nov 08 Paide vs Kalju Nõm… 1-1
Nov 02 Paide vs Vaprus 3-0
Oct 26 Paide vs FC Tallinn 1-1
Oct 22 Paide vs FC Levadia 1-2
Oct 18 Paide vs Tammeka 5-0
Oct 04 Paide vs Kuressaare 1-1
Sep 27 Paide vs Transvaal 2-3
Sep 20 Paide vs Laagri 3-0
Sep 17 Paide vs Tallinna … 0-3
Kalju Nõmme Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Kalju Nõm… vs FK Liepaja 3-5
Jan 17 Kalju Nõm… vs Rīgas FS 0-2
Nov 08 Kalju Nõm… vs Paide 1-1
Nov 02 Kalju Nõm… vs Tammeka 2-1
Oct 25 Kalju Nõm… vs Kuressaare 0-1
Oct 22 Kalju Nõm… vs Tallinna … 0-2
Oct 19 Kalju Nõm… vs Laagri 1-3
Oct 05 Kalju Nõm… vs Vaprus 1-0
Sep 28 Kalju Nõm… vs FC Tallinn 3-1
Sep 24 Kalju Nõm… vs Laagri 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paide in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Kalju Nõmme in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Kalju Nõmme 1 - 1 Paide Meistriliiga
Sep 14, 2025 Paide 1 - 1 Kalju Nõmme Meistriliiga
May 28, 2025 Kalju Nõmme 0 - 2 Paide Meistriliiga
Mar 09, 2025 Paide 4 - 0 Kalju Nõmme Meistriliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paide to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paide Power 0
Kalju Nõmme Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.