AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Oct 02, 2022

ES Sétif

Home
VS
17:00

CS Constantine

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
ES Sétif Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
CS Constantine Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ES Sétif Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
CS Constantine Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (40%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
ES Sétif Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 08 ES Sétif vs Paradou AC 0-1
Jun 01 ES Sétif vs CS Consta… 1-0
May 29 ES Sétif vs JS Saoura 0-0
May 18 ES Sétif vs CR Beloui… 1-0
Apr 12 ES Sétif vs MC Alger 2-1
Apr 09 ES Sétif vs MC Oran 0-1
Mar 02 ES Sétif vs JS Kabylie 1-1
Jan 25 ES Sétif vs JS Saoura 1-1
Dec 28 ES Sétif vs Paradou AC 1-0
Dec 24 ES Sétif vs CS Consta… 1-0
CS Constantine Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 CS Consta… vs Paradou AC 0-1
Aug 26 CS Consta… vs Khenchela 3-1
Jun 01 CS Consta… vs ES Sétif 1-0
May 07 CS Consta… vs JS Saoura 2-0
Apr 01 CS Consta… vs Paradou AC 1-0
Mar 19 CS Consta… vs MC Alger 0-0
Feb 03 CS Consta… vs Paradou AC 1-1
Jan 07 CS Consta… vs JS Saoura 1-0
Dec 24 CS Consta… vs ES Sétif 1-0
Nov 25 CS Consta… vs MC Alger 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • CS Constantine in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • ES Sétif struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 01, 2022 CS Constantine 1 - 0 ES Sétif Ligue 1
Dec 24, 2021 ES Sétif 1 - 0 CS Constantine Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ES Sétif Power 0
CS Constantine Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

ES Sétif Position

-10

Position Gap

2

CS Constantine Position

Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.