AI Match Insights

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Serie A Feb 14, 2026

Como

Home
VS
14:00

Fiorentina

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Como Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Fiorentina Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.19 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Como Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Como vs Atalanta 0-0
Jan 27 Como vs Fiorentina 1-3
Jan 24 Como vs Torino 6-0
Jan 19 Como vs Lazio 0-3
Jan 15 Como vs AC Milan 1-3
Jan 10 Como vs Bologna 1-1
Jan 06 Como vs Pisa 0-3
Jan 03 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Dec 29 Como vs Mali 0-0
Dec 27 Como vs Lecce 0-3
Fiorentina Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Fiorentina vs Napoli 2-1
Jan 27 Fiorentina vs Como 1-3
Jan 24 Fiorentina vs Cagliari 1-2
Jan 18 Fiorentina vs Bologna 1-2
Jan 11 Fiorentina vs AC Milan 1-1
Jan 07 Fiorentina vs Lazio 2-2
Jan 04 Fiorentina vs Cremonese 1-0
Dec 27 Fiorentina vs Parma 1-0
Dec 21 Fiorentina vs Udinese 5-1
Dec 14 Fiorentina vs Verona 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Como in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Fiorentina struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2026 Fiorentina 1 - 3 Como Coppa Italia
Sep 21, 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 2 Como Serie A
Feb 16, 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 2 Como Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Pro League
Final Verdict

PRO: Como to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Como Power 45
Fiorentina Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Como Position

+12

Position Gap

18

Fiorentina Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.