AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Feb 11, 2026

Austin

Home
VS
18:00

Chicago Fire

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Austin Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Chicago Fire Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 3.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Austin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Chicago Fire Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Austin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Austin vs New York … 1-0
Jan 28 Austin vs Louisvill… 1-0
Nov 03 Austin vs Los Angel… 1-4
Oct 30 Austin vs Los Angel… 2-1
Oct 19 Austin vs San Jose … 2-1
Oct 12 Austin vs Los Angel… 1-0
Oct 12 Austin vs AS Roma 1-0
Oct 09 Austin vs Inter San… 10-0
Oct 05 Austin vs St. Louis… 1-3
Oct 02 Austin vs Nashville… 1-2
Chicago Fire Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Chicago F… vs Philadelp… 0-3
Oct 26 Chicago F… vs Philadelp… 2-2
Oct 23 Chicago F… vs Orlando C… 3-1
Oct 18 Chicago F… vs New Engla… 2-2
Oct 05 Chicago F… vs Toronto FC 2-2
Sep 30 Chicago F… vs Inter 3-5
Sep 28 Chicago F… vs Columbus … 2-0
Sep 21 Chicago F… vs Minnesota… 0-3
Sep 14 Chicago F… vs New York … 1-3
Sep 07 Chicago F… vs New Engla… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Austin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Austin to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Austin Power 0
Chicago Fire Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.