AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 27, 2024

Wigan

Home
VS
19:45

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Wigan Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bolton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.06 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Wigan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Wigan vs Chelsea 1-1
Feb 17 Wigan vs Shrewsbury 0-1
Feb 13 Wigan vs Oxford Un… 4-2
Feb 10 Wigan vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Feb 03 Wigan vs Peterboro… 2-3
Jan 27 Wigan vs Stevenage 2-3
Jan 27 Wigan vs Stevenage 2-3
Jan 23 Wigan vs Wycombe 1-0
Jan 23 Wigan vs Wycombe 1-0
Jan 20 Wigan vs Reading FC 1-0
Bolton Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Bolton vs Blackpool 4-1
Feb 24 Bolton vs Blackpool 4-1
Feb 24 Bolton vs Northampt… 0-2
Feb 21 Bolton vs Liverpool 4-1
Feb 20 Bolton vs Cambridge… 1-2
Feb 18 Bolton vs Mancheste… 1-2
Feb 17 Bolton vs Charlton 3-3
Feb 17 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 1-2
Feb 13 Bolton vs Wycombe 2-1
Feb 13 Bolton vs Wycombe 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 19, 2023 Bolton 0 - 4 Wigan League One
Jul 09, 2022 Bolton 0 - 1 Wigan Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2022 Wigan 1 - 1 Bolton League One
Oct 16, 2021 Bolton 0 - 4 Wigan League One
Aug 24, 2021 Wigan 0 - 0 Bolton League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wigan Power 33
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Wigan Position

-17

Position Gap

3

Bolton Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.