AI Match Insights

FA Cup May 25, 2024

Manchester City

Home
VS
14:00

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Manchester City Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Manchester United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Manchester City Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Mancheste… vs West Brom 3-1
May 19 Mancheste… vs West Brom 3-1
May 14 Mancheste… vs Tottenham 0-2
May 14 Mancheste… vs Tottenham 0-2
May 11 Mancheste… vs Fulham 0-4
May 11 Mancheste… vs Fulham 0-4
May 04 Mancheste… vs Wolves 5-1
May 04 Mancheste… vs Wolves 5-1
Apr 28 Mancheste… vs Nottingha… 0-2
Apr 28 Mancheste… vs Nottingha… 0-2
Manchester United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Mancheste… vs Brighton 0-2
May 19 Mancheste… vs Brighton 0-2
May 15 Mancheste… vs Newcastle… 3-2
May 15 Mancheste… vs Newcastle… 3-2
May 12 Mancheste… vs Arsenal 0-1
May 12 Mancheste… vs Arsenal 0-1
May 06 Mancheste… vs Crystal P… 4-0
May 06 Mancheste… vs Crystal P… 4-0
Apr 27 Mancheste… vs Burnley 1-1
Apr 27 Mancheste… vs Burnley 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester City in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Manchester City 3 - 1 Manchester United Premier League
Mar 03, 2024 Manchester City 3 - 1 Manchester United Pro League
Oct 29, 2023 Manchester United 0 - 3 Manchester City Premier League
Jun 03, 2023 Manchester City 2 - 1 Manchester United FA Cup
Jan 14, 2023 Manchester United 2 - 1 Manchester City Premier League
Oct 02, 2022 Manchester City 6 - 3 Manchester United Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester City to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester City Power 46
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.