AI Match Insights
FA Cup May 25, 2024
Manchester City
HomeVS
14:00
Manchester United
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Manchester City Win
Draw
Manchester United Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
Manchester City Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 19 | Mancheste⦠vs West Brom | 3-1 |
| May 19 | Mancheste⦠vs West Brom | 3-1 |
| May 14 | Mancheste⦠vs Tottenham | 0-2 |
| May 14 | Mancheste⦠vs Tottenham | 0-2 |
| May 11 | Mancheste⦠vs Fulham | 0-4 |
| May 11 | Mancheste⦠vs Fulham | 0-4 |
| May 04 | Mancheste⦠vs Wolves | 5-1 |
| May 04 | Mancheste⦠vs Wolves | 5-1 |
| Apr 28 | Mancheste⦠vs Nottingha⦠| 0-2 |
| Apr 28 | Mancheste⦠vs Nottingha⦠| 0-2 |
Manchester United Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 19 | Mancheste⦠vs Brighton | 0-2 |
| May 19 | Mancheste⦠vs Brighton | 0-2 |
| May 15 | Mancheste⦠vs Newcastle⦠| 3-2 |
| May 15 | Mancheste⦠vs Newcastle⦠| 3-2 |
| May 12 | Mancheste⦠vs Arsenal | 0-1 |
| May 12 | Mancheste⦠vs Arsenal | 0-1 |
| May 06 | Mancheste⦠vs Crystal P⦠| 4-0 |
| May 06 | Mancheste⦠vs Crystal P⦠| 4-0 |
| Apr 27 | Mancheste⦠vs Burnley | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Mancheste⦠vs Burnley | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Manchester City in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
- Manchester United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 03, 2024 | Manchester City | 3 - 1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Manchester City | 3 - 1 | Manchester United | Pro League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Manchester United | 0 - 3 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Manchester City | 2 - 1 | Manchester United | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Manchester United | 2 - 1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Manchester City | 6 - 3 | Manchester United | Premier League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Manchester City to win (40% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Manchester City Power
46
Manchester United Power
39
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.