AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Feb 25, 2024

Olympiakos Piraeus

Home
VS
16:00

Asteras Tripolis

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Asteras Tripolis Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.97 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.1 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Asteras Tripolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Olympiako… vs PAOK 1-4
Feb 10 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 4-0
Jan 21 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 1-2
Jan 17 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 0-0
Jan 14 Olympiako… vs Kifisia 2-3
Jan 10 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 1-1
Jan 07 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Dec 21 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 0-0
Dec 14 Olympiako… vs TSC Bačka… 5-2
Dec 03 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 2-2
Asteras Tripolis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Asteras T… vs Panetolik… 2-2
Feb 04 Asteras T… vs AEK Athen… 4-2
Jan 14 Asteras T… vs Volos NFC 1-0
Jan 10 Asteras T… vs Panserrai… 1-1
Jan 03 Asteras T… vs Aris Thes… 3-2
Dec 21 Asteras T… vs OFI Crete 0-2
Dec 05 Asteras T… vs Panserrai… 0-2
Nov 26 Asteras T… vs Kifisia 1-3
Nov 12 Asteras T… vs Olympiako… 0-2
Nov 05 Asteras T… vs Panetolik… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Olympiakos Piraeus in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2023 Asteras Tripolis 0 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Dec 28, 2022 Olympiakos Piraeus 5 - 0 Asteras Tripolis Super League 1
Aug 29, 2022 Asteras Tripolis 0 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Mar 02, 2022 Olympiakos Piraeus 5 - 1 Asteras Tripolis Super League 1
Sep 26, 2021 Asteras Tripolis 0 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Asteras Tripolis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Asteras Tripolis Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.