AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Dec 28, 2022

Olympiakos Piraeus

Home
VS
16:00

Asteras Tripolis

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Asteras Tripolis Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Asteras Tripolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 4-1
Oct 09 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 1-2
Oct 02 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 2-0
Sep 11 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 1-1
Aug 29 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 0-0
Mar 02 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 5-1
Feb 27 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 2-0
Dec 15 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 0-3
Dec 04 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 1-3
Sep 26 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 0-2
Asteras Tripolis Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Asteras T… vs Panetolik… 1-1
Nov 06 Asteras T… vs AEK Athen… 1-1
Oct 16 Asteras T… vs Panetolik… 0-0
Sep 18 Asteras T… vs Levadiakos 1-1
Sep 11 Asteras T… vs Aris Thes… 0-2
Aug 29 Asteras T… vs Olympiako… 0-0
Mar 06 Asteras T… vs AEK Athen… 2-1
Mar 02 Asteras T… vs Olympiako… 5-1
Feb 26 Asteras T… vs Aris Thes… 0-2
Dec 11 Asteras T… vs AEK Athen… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Olympiakos Piraeus in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2022 Asteras Tripolis 0 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Mar 02, 2022 Olympiakos Piraeus 5 - 1 Asteras Tripolis Super League 1
Sep 26, 2021 Asteras Tripolis 0 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Asteras Tripolis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Asteras Tripolis Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.