AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 08, 2025

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dumbarton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.78 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Alloa Athletic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-1
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-2
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 0-1
Jan 18 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jan 11 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-1
Jan 11 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-1
Jan 04 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Dec 28 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Dec 21 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-0
Dec 21 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-0
Dumbarton Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Jan 18 Dumbarton vs Airdrieon… 1-5
Jan 04 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 2-0
Dec 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-5
Dec 07 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 4-0
Dec 03 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 26 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 3-1
Oct 05 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Sep 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Dumbarton struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 14, 2024 Dumbarton 1 - 5 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Apr 06, 2024 Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Dumbarton League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Dumbarton 2 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Dumbarton League Two
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.