AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 14, 2024

Dumbarton

Home
VS
15:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Dumbarton Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Alloa Athletic Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.97 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Dumbarton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 4-0
Dec 03 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 26 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 3-1
Oct 05 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Sep 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Sep 07 Dumbarton vs Peterhead 1-0
Aug 13 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-0
Aug 10 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Aug 03 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 1-1
Alloa Athletic Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Dec 03 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 2-2
Nov 30 Alloa Ath… vs Fraserbur… 2-0
Nov 29 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 3-2
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-0
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 2-1
Nov 12 Alloa Ath… vs Dunfermli… 1-0
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-1
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 0-3
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Apr 06, 2024 Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Dumbarton League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Dumbarton 2 - 2 Alloa Athletic League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Dumbarton League Two
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
Aug 19, 2023 Dumbarton 3 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dumbarton Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.