AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 07, 2025

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
19:00

Al Shabab

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Al Shabab Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.74 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.1 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Al Shabab Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Al-Nassr Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-3
Feb 13 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 2-3
Jan 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Jan 09 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-1
Dec 06 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 2-1
Nov 29 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-0
Nov 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisi… 1-2
Nov 08 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Nov 01 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-1
Oct 29 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 0-1
Al Shabab Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… 2-2
Feb 13 Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisi… 2-3
Feb 06 Al Shabab vs Al Khalee… 5-1
Jan 27 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 2-1
Jan 22 Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… 2-1
Jan 06 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 2-1
Dec 05 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 2-2
Oct 18 Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr 1-2
Sep 21 Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… 1-0
Sep 15 Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisi… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2024 Al Shabab 1 - 2 Al-Nassr Pro League
Feb 25, 2024 Al Shabab 2 - 3 Al-Nassr Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 Al Shabab 2 - 5 Al-Nassr King's Cup
Aug 29, 2023 Al-Nassr 4 - 0 Al Shabab Pro League
Jul 28, 2023 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al Shabab Arab Club Cham…
May 23, 2023 Al-Nassr 3 - 2 Al Shabab Pro League
Jan 14, 2023 Al Shabab 0 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
May 06, 2022 Al-Nassr 4 - 2 Al Shabab Pro League
Nov 05, 2021 Al Shabab 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al Shabab Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Al-Nassr Position

+11

Position Gap

13

Al Shabab Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.