AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 23, 2023

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
18:30

Al Shabab

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Al Shabab Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.21 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Al Shabab Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Al-Nassr Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 2-0
Mar 09 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 1-0
Feb 25 Al-Nassr vs Damac 0-3
Feb 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 2-1
Jan 26 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 3-1
Jan 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0
Jan 14 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 0-0
Oct 02 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 0-0
Sep 10 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-1
Sep 03 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-0
Al Shabab Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 1-0
Apr 27 Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… 2-1
Apr 11 Al Shabab vs Al Khalee… 2-3
Mar 09 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 3-2
Jan 20 Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Jan 14 Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr 0-0
Jan 09 Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… 1-1
Dec 26 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 4-1
Dec 22 Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… 1-1
Oct 15 Al Shabab vs Al Khalee… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Shabab in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Al-Nassr struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2023 Al Shabab 0 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
May 06, 2022 Al-Nassr 4 - 2 Al Shabab Pro League
Nov 05, 2021 Al Shabab 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al Shabab Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Nassr Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Al Shabab Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.