AI Match Insights
Pro League May 06, 2022
Al-Nassr
HomeVS
17:50
Al Shabab
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
Draw
Al Shabab Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 55%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.94 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Shabab Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%)
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
Al-Nassr Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq | 2-2 |
| Jan 21 | Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Al-Nassr vs Damac | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq | 0-1 |
| Aug 13 | Al-Nassr vs Damac | 4-1 |
| Apr 09 | Al-Nassr vs Damac | 3-2 |
| Mar 11 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… | 1-2 |
Al Shabab Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Al Shabab vs Al-Hazem | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… | 3-1 |
| Nov 05 | Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … | 2-1 |
| Sep 12 | Al Shabab vs Al-Hazem | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Al Shabab in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 05, 2021 | Al Shabab | 1 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power
0
Al Shabab Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Al-Nassr Position+11
Position Gap13
Al Shabab Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.