AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĆ³n - Apertura Jun 29, 2025

Juventud

Home
VS
15:30

Progreso

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Juventud Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Progreso Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.70 - 0.93
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juventud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (20%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Juventud Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Juventud vs Progreso 1-2
Dec 12 Juventud vs Uruguay Mā€¦ 1-1
Dec 08 Juventud vs Uruguay Mā€¦ 2-0
Dec 04 Juventud vs ColĆ³n 0-3
Nov 29 Juventud vs ColĆ³n 0-1
Nov 16 Juventud vs Cooper 0-3
Nov 10 Juventud vs TacuarembĆ³ 1-2
Nov 04 Juventud vs Plaza Colā€¦ 0-1
Oct 23 Juventud vs Albion FC 0-2
Oct 20 Juventud vs Oriental 3-0
Progreso Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 1-0
May 18 Progreso vs Juventud 1-2
Apr 20 Progreso vs Defensor ā€¦ 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso vs Cerro Larā€¦ 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso vs Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso vs Defensor ā€¦ 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso vs Rangers FC 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juventud in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Progreso struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2025 Progreso 1 - 2 Juventud Primera Divisiā€¦
Nov 18, 2023 Progreso 2 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisiā€¦
Jul 07, 2023 Juventud 1 - 1 Progreso Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 29, 2023 Juventud 1 - 5 Progreso Segunda Divisiā€¦
Aug 06, 2022 Progreso 0 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisiā€¦
May 16, 2022 Juventud 0 - 0 Progreso Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 16, 2022 Progreso 2 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juventud to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juventud Power 0
Progreso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.