AI Match Insights

Primera División - Apertura May 18, 2025

Progreso

Home
VS
18:00

Juventud

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Progreso Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Juventud Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.97 - 3.75
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Juventud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 0-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-3 (4%) 0-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Progreso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Progreso vs Defensor … 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso vs Club Naci… 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso vs Cerro Lar… 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso vs PeƱarol M… 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso vs Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso vs Defensor … 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso vs Rangers FC 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso vs PeƱarol M… 2-1
Sep 29 Progreso vs Club Naci… 0-3
Jul 27 Progreso vs Fenix 1-1
Juventud Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Juventud vs Uruguay M… 1-1
Dec 08 Juventud vs Uruguay M… 2-0
Dec 04 Juventud vs Colón 0-3
Nov 29 Juventud vs Colón 0-1
Nov 16 Juventud vs Cooper 0-3
Nov 10 Juventud vs Tacuarembó 1-2
Nov 04 Juventud vs Plaza Col… 0-1
Oct 23 Juventud vs Albion FC 0-2
Oct 20 Juventud vs Oriental 3-0
Oct 13 Juventud vs Cerrito 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Progreso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 18, 2023 Progreso 2 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisi…
Jul 07, 2023 Juventud 1 - 1 Progreso Segunda Divisi…
Apr 29, 2023 Juventud 1 - 5 Progreso Segunda Divisi…
Aug 06, 2022 Progreso 0 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisi…
May 16, 2022 Juventud 0 - 0 Progreso Segunda Divisi…
Apr 16, 2022 Progreso 2 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Progreso Power 0
Juventud Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.