AI Match Insights
Primera División - Apertura May 18, 2025
Progreso
HomeVS
18:00
Juventud
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Progreso Win
Draw
Juventud Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 36%
Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.97 - 3.75
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Juventud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (8%)
1-3 (8%)
0-2 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
2-3 (4%)
0-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
Progreso Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20 | Progreso vs Defensor ⦠| 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Progreso vs Club Naci⦠| 1-5 |
| Nov 30 | Progreso vs Cerro Lar⦠| 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Progreso vs Peñarol M⦠| 1-5 |
| Nov 18 | Progreso vs Fenix | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Progreso vs Defensor ⦠| 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Progreso vs Rangers FC | 0-0 |
| Nov 03 | Progreso vs Peñarol M⦠| 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Progreso vs Club Naci⦠| 0-3 |
| Jul 27 | Progreso vs Fenix | 1-1 |
Juventud Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12 | Juventud vs Uruguay M⦠| 1-1 |
| Dec 08 | Juventud vs Uruguay M⦠| 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Juventud vs Colón | 0-3 |
| Nov 29 | Juventud vs Colón | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Juventud vs Cooper | 0-3 |
| Nov 10 | Juventud vs Tacuarembó | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | Juventud vs Plaza Col⦠| 0-1 |
| Oct 23 | Juventud vs Albion FC | 0-2 |
| Oct 20 | Juventud vs Oriental | 3-0 |
| Oct 13 | Juventud vs Cerrito | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Progreso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | Progreso | 2 - 1 | Juventud | Segunda Divisi⦠|
| Jul 07, 2023 | Juventud | 1 - 1 | Progreso | Segunda Divisi⦠|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Juventud | 1 - 5 | Progreso | Segunda Divisi⦠|
| Aug 06, 2022 | Progreso | 0 - 1 | Juventud | Segunda Divisi⦠|
| May 16, 2022 | Juventud | 0 - 0 | Progreso | Segunda Divisi⦠|
| Apr 16, 2022 | Progreso | 2 - 1 | Juventud | Segunda Divisi⦠|
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Progreso Power
0
Juventud Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.