AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda DivisiĆ³n Aug 06, 2022

Progreso

Home
VS
13:15

Juventud

Away
AI Predictions 56.0% Confidence
Progreso Win
56.0%
Draw
22.8%
Juventud Win
21.2%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.61 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.1
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Juventud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Progreso Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 25 Progreso vs Central Eā€¦ 1-1
May 16 Progreso vs Juventud 0-0
Apr 16 Progreso vs Juventud 2-1
Sep 19 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 0-1
May 23 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 1-3
Feb 18 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 0-1
Feb 11 Progreso vs Defensor ā€¦ 3-3
Aug 26 Progreso vs Club Naciā€¦ 2-1
Aug 19 Progreso vs Defensor ā€¦ 2-1
Juventud Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Juventud vs Progreso 0-0
Apr 16 Juventud vs Progreso 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 16, 2022 Juventud 0 - 0 Progreso Segunda Divisiā€¦
Apr 16, 2022 Progreso 2 - 1 Juventud Segunda Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Progreso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Progreso Power 0
Juventud Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.