AI Match Insights
Capixaba Mar 20, 2022
Rio Branco-VN
HomeVS
19:00
Vilavelhense
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
Draw
Vilavelhense Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.42 - 1.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Vilavelhense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
Rio Branco-VN Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … | 4-1 |
| Feb 26 | Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… | 0-1 |
| Sep 30 | Rio Branc… vs Galvez | 1-3 |
| Aug 19 | Rio Branc… vs Galvez | 1-2 |
| Jul 17 | Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … | 2-1 |
Vilavelhense Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Vilavelhe… vs Real Noro… | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Vilavelhe… vs Desportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vilavelhe… vs Vitoria | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Vilavelhe… vs Real Noro… | 2-3 |
| Apr 10 | Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Vilavelhe… vs Desportiv… | 4-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Vilavelhense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Rio Branco-VN | 0 - 1 | Vilavelhense | Capixaba |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Vilavelhense | 1 - 1 | Rio Branco-VN | Capixaba |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Vilavelhense | 1 - 3 | Rio Branco-VN | Capixaba |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Rio Branco-VN Power
0
Vilavelhense Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Rio Branco-VN Position-6
Position Gap4
Vilavelhense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.