AI Match Insights

Capixaba Mar 20, 2022

Rio Branco-VN

Home
VS
19:00

Vilavelhense

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Vilavelhense Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.42 - 1.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Vilavelhense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Rio Branco-VN Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… 1-2
Mar 09 Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … 4-1
Feb 26 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Feb 19 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 2-2
Feb 12 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Feb 05 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jan 30 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 0-1
Sep 30 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 1-3
Aug 19 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 1-2
Jul 17 Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Vilavelhense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Vilavelhe… vs Real Noro… 1-0
Mar 05 Vilavelhe… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Feb 12 Vilavelhe… vs Vitoria 2-2
Jan 30 Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
May 01 Vilavelhe… vs Real Noro… 2-3
Apr 10 Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Mar 07 Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Feb 28 Vilavelhe… vs Desportiv… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vilavelhense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 30, 2022 Rio Branco-VN 0 - 1 Vilavelhense Capixaba
Apr 10, 2021 Vilavelhense 1 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Mar 07, 2021 Vilavelhense 1 - 3 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Vilavelhense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Rio Branco-VN Position

-6

Position Gap

4

Vilavelhense Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.