AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Aug 24, 2024

Porto Vitória

Home
VS
20:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Porto Vitória Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Vitoria Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.22 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Porto Vitória Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Porto Vitória Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 0-3
Aug 02 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jul 27 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 2-2
Jul 20 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 2-0
Jul 13 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jul 05 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 3-0
Jun 22 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jun 15 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Jun 01 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 3-1
May 18 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Vitoria Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 1-0
Aug 11 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 0-1
Aug 11 Vitoria vs Bahia 2-0
Jul 27 Vitoria vs Palmeiras 0-2
Jul 27 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-2
Jul 20 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Jul 12 Vitoria vs Botafogo 0-1
Jul 06 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-0
Jul 03 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 1-2
Jun 23 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Porto Vitória in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 27, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 2 Porto Vitória Copa Espírito …
Jul 20, 2024 Porto Vitória 2 - 0 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Jun 01, 2024 Porto Vitória 3 - 1 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Feb 05, 2024 Porto Vitória 0 - 0 Vitoria Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Porto Vitória to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Porto Vitória Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.