AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Jul 27, 2024

Vitoria

Home
VS
18:00

Porto Vitória

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Vitoria Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Porto Vitória Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.06 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Porto Vitória Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Vitoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Jul 12 Vitoria vs Botafogo 0-1
Jul 06 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-0
Jul 03 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 1-2
Jun 23 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jun 16 Vitoria vs Internaci… 2-1
Jun 01 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 3-1
May 25 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 4-4
May 22 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-2
May 18 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
Porto Vitória Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 2-0
Jul 13 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jul 05 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 3-0
Jun 22 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jun 15 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Jun 01 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 3-1
May 18 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Mar 30 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 24 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Mar 02 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Porto Vitória in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2024 Porto Vitória 2 - 0 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Jun 01, 2024 Porto Vitória 3 - 1 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Feb 05, 2024 Porto Vitória 0 - 0 Vitoria Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vitoria to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitoria Power 0
Porto Vitória Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.