AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Jun 01, 2024

Porto Vitória

Home
VS
18:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Porto Vitória Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Vitoria Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.23 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.0
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Porto Vitória Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Porto Vitória Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Mar 30 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 24 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Mar 02 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 2-0
Feb 21 Porto Vit… vs Serra Tal… 2-1
Feb 05 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 0-0
Jan 28 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Jan 18 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Mar 22 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Mar 19 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 2-2
Vitoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 4-4
May 22 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-2
May 18 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
May 11 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 0-0
May 05 Vitoria vs São Paulo… 1-3
May 04 Vitoria vs Capixaba … 2-1
May 02 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-0
Apr 21 Vitoria vs Bahia 2-2
Apr 14 Vitoria vs Palmeiras 0-1
Apr 07 Vitoria vs Bahia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Porto Vitória struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2024 Porto Vitória 0 - 0 Vitoria Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Porto Vitória to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Porto Vitória Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.