AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Feb 07, 2026

Nantes

Home
VS
20:05

Lyon

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Nantes Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Lyon Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.94 - 3.30
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (9%) 1-3 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Nantes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Nantes vs Lorient 2-1
Jan 25 Nantes vs Nice 1-4
Jan 18 Nantes vs Paris FC 1-2
Jan 11 Nantes vs Nice 1-1
Jan 04 Nantes vs Marseille 0-2
Dec 21 Nantes vs Concarneau 3-5
Dec 12 Nantes vs Angers 4-1
Dec 06 Nantes vs Lens 1-2
Nov 30 Nantes vs Lyon 3-0
Nov 23 Nantes vs Lorient 1-1
Lyon Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Lyon vs Laval 2-0
Feb 01 Lyon vs Lille 1-0
Jan 29 Lyon vs PAOK 0-0
Jan 25 Lyon vs Metz 2-5
Jan 22 Lyon vs BSC Young… 0-1
Jan 18 Lyon vs Stade Bre… 2-1
Jan 11 Lyon vs Lille 1-2
Jan 03 Lyon vs Monaco 1-3
Dec 21 Lyon vs Saint-Cyr… 3-0
Dec 14 Lyon vs LE Havre … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lyon in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Nantes struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Lyon 3 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Jan 26, 2025 Nantes 1 - 1 Lyon Ligue 1
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Pro League
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1 - 0 Lyon Coupe de France
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1 - 1 Nantes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lyon to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nantes Power 26
Lyon Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Nantes Position

-12

Position Gap

4

Lyon Position

Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.