AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Feb 08, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
19:45

Marseille

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Marseille Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 1.70 - 2.88
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (7%) 1-3 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 1-2
Jan 28 Paris Sai… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Jan 23 Paris Sai… vs Auxerre 0-1
Jan 20 Paris Sai… vs Sporting … 2-1
Jan 16 Paris Sai… vs Lille 3-0
Jan 12 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 0-1
Jan 04 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 20 Paris Sai… vs Vendée Fo… 0-4
Dec 13 Paris Sai… vs Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris Sai… vs Athletic … 0-0
Marseille Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Marseille vs Rennes FC 3-0
Jan 31 Marseille vs Paris FC 2-2
Jan 28 Marseille vs Club Brug… 2-0
Jan 24 Marseille vs Lens 3-1
Jan 21 Marseille vs Liverpool 0-3
Jan 17 Marseille vs Angers 2-5
Jan 13 Marseille vs Bayeux 0-9
Jan 04 Marseille vs Nantes 0-2
Dec 21 Marseille vs Bourg-en-… 0-6
Dec 14 Marseille vs Monaco 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 16, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Oct 27, 2024 Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 31, 2024 Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Sep 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Feb 26, 2023 Marseille 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Marseille Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Marseille Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.