AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 07, 2026

Birmingham

Home
VS
15:01

Leicester

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Birmingham Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Leicester Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.14 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.1 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Birmingham Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Birmingham vs Oxford Un… 0-2
Jan 24 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-1
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 0-2
Jan 17 Birmingham vs Swansea 1-1
Jan 10 Birmingham vs Cambridge… 2-3
Jan 04 Birmingham vs Coventry 3-2
Jan 01 Birmingham vs Watford 3-0
Dec 29 Birmingham vs Southampt… 1-1
Dec 26 Birmingham vs Derby 1-1
Dec 20 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 3-0
Leicester Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Leicester vs Charlton 0-2
Jan 24 Leicester vs Oxford Un… 1-2
Jan 20 Leicester vs Wrexham 1-1
Jan 17 Leicester vs Coventry 2-1
Jan 10 Leicester vs Chelsea 0-2
Jan 05 Leicester vs West Brom 2-1
Jan 01 Leicester vs Sheffield… 3-1
Dec 29 Leicester vs Derby 2-1
Dec 26 Leicester vs Watford 1-2
Dec 20 Leicester vs QPR 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Leicester struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2025 Leicester 2 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Leicester 2 - 1 Birmingham Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Leicester 2 - 1 Birmingham Pro League
Jan 27, 2024 Leicester 3 - 0 Birmingham FA Cup
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Championship
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Aug 26, 2020 Birmingham 0 - 2 Leicester Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

PRO: Birmingham to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham Power 36
Leicester Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Birmingham Position

+7

Position Gap

20

Leicester Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.