AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 07, 2026

Southampton

Home
VS
12:31

Watford

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Watford Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.46 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Watford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Southampton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Southampt… vs AFC Fylde 0-0
Jan 31 Southampt… vs Stoke City 0-2
Jan 31 Southampt… vs Crawley T… 1-1
Jan 25 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 1-1
Jan 24 Southampt… vs Tamworth 0-1
Jan 21 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 1-0
Jan 17 Southampt… vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Jan 17 Southampt… vs Hull City 1-2
Jan 13 Southampt… vs Eastleigh 0-2
Jan 10 Southampt… vs Doncaster 2-3
Watford Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Watford vs Hull City 0-0
Jan 31 Watford vs Swansea 0-2
Jan 24 Watford vs Blackburn 1-1
Jan 21 Watford vs Portsmout… 1-1
Jan 17 Watford vs Millwall 0-2
Jan 10 Watford vs Bristol C… 5-1
Jan 01 Watford vs Birmingham 3-0
Dec 29 Watford vs Norwich C… 0-1
Dec 26 Watford vs Leicester 1-2
Dec 20 Watford vs Stoke City 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Watford 2 - 2 Southampton Championship
Apr 13, 2024 Southampton 3 - 2 Watford Pro League
Mar 29, 2024 Watford 1 - 2 Southampton Pro League
Dec 09, 2023 Watford 1 - 1 Southampton Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Power 36
Watford Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Southampton Position

-6

Position Gap

8

Watford Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 21%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.