AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Feb 14, 2026

Llantwit Major

Home
VS
14:00

Cwmbran Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Llantwit Major Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Cwmbran Celtic Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.55 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Llantwit Major Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Llantwit Major Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Llantwit … vs Carmarthe… 1-1
Jan 03 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 0-0
Dec 26 Llantwit … vs Cardiff D… 2-0
Dec 05 Llantwit … vs Trethomas… 2-2
Nov 29 Llantwit … vs Afan Lido 1-0
Nov 08 Llantwit … vs Newport C… 2-2
Nov 01 Llantwit … vs Treowen S… 1-1
Oct 25 Llantwit … vs Ynyshir A… 2-1
Oct 11 Llantwit … vs Pontyprid… 2-0
Oct 04 Llantwit … vs Baglan Dr… 1-1
Cwmbran Celtic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-0
Jan 16 Cwmbran C… vs Cardiff D… 0-1
Jan 10 Cwmbran C… vs Carmarthe… 2-2
Jan 02 Cwmbran C… vs Treowen S… 1-2
Dec 27 Cwmbran C… vs Newport C… 2-2
Nov 29 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 1-0
Nov 07 Cwmbran C… vs Pontyprid… 7-0
Oct 31 Cwmbran C… vs Baglan Dr… 0-1
Oct 24 Cwmbran C… vs Ammanford… 2-1
Oct 10 Cwmbran C… vs Caerau (E… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 0 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Feb 22, 2025 Llantwit Major 2 - 1 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Mar 16, 2024 Llantwit Major 1 - 1 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 19, 2023 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 1 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Mar 11, 2023 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Oct 08, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 2 Llantwit Major Welsh Cup
Aug 13, 2022 Llantwit Major 0 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Apr 30, 2022 Cwmbran Celtic 0 - 5 Llantwit Major FAW Championsh…
Jul 24, 2021 Llantwit Major 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Llantwit Major Power 0
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.