AI Match Insights

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Challenger Pro League Feb 06, 2026

Liège

Home
VS
19:00

Lierse Kempenzonen

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Liège Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.40 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liège Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Liège Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Liège vs RSC Ander… 0-0
Jan 27 Liège vs Lommel Un… 1-0
Jan 24 Liège vs Seraing U… 2-2
Jan 17 Liège vs Francs Bo… 3-1
Dec 21 Liège vs RWDM Brus… 0-3
Dec 18 Liège vs Lokeren-T… 0-1
Dec 07 Liège vs Kortrijk 2-0
Nov 28 Liège vs Beerschot… 3-0
Nov 21 Liège vs Francs Bo… 2-0
Nov 07 Liège vs KAA Gent … 0-2
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Lierse Ke… vs Beerschot… 1-2
Jan 28 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 2-2
Jan 25 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 1-0
Dec 19 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 4-3
Dec 16 Lierse Ke… vs Kortrijk 0-0
Dec 13 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 0-1
Dec 06 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 2-1
Nov 29 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 1-0
Nov 13 Lierse Ke… vs Borussia … 1-0
Nov 08 Lierse Ke… vs Club NXT 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liège in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Lierse Kempenzonen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2025 Lierse Kempenzonen 1 - 2 Liège Challenger Pro…
Feb 23, 2025 Liège 2 - 1 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Dec 06, 2024 Lierse Kempenzonen 2 - 1 Liège Challenger Pro…
Mar 16, 2024 Lierse Kempenzonen 3 - 2 Liège Challenger Pro…
Nov 12, 2023 Liège 2 - 4 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Aug 15, 2020 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Liège Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Liège to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liège Power 0
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Liège Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.