AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Feb 06, 2026

Reims

Home
VS
19:00

Bastia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Reims Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Bastia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 94%
Market 60%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.77 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3 Position gap: 16 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reims Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Bastia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Reims Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Reims vs Le Mans 3-0
Jan 30 Reims vs Clermont … 0-1
Jan 24 Reims vs Saint-Éti… 1-0
Jan 17 Reims vs Estac Tro… 2-1
Jan 10 Reims vs Le Puy Fo… 0-0
Jan 03 Reims vs Annecy 2-1
Dec 19 Reims vs Croix Foo… 0-4
Dec 13 Reims vs RED Star … 0-0
Dec 08 Reims vs Laval 4-0
Nov 29 Reims vs Torcy 1-5
Bastia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bastia vs Nancy 0-0
Jan 23 Bastia vs Montpelli… 0-2
Jan 16 Bastia vs Laval 0-2
Jan 10 Bastia vs Estac Tro… 0-2
Jan 03 Bastia vs Grenoble 1-0
Dec 20 Bastia vs Pontivy G… 0-1
Dec 13 Bastia vs Saint-Éti… 2-2
Dec 07 Bastia vs Krylya So… 2-0
Dec 05 Bastia vs RED Star … 0-0
Nov 29 Bastia vs CSKA Mosc… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Reims in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2025 Bastia 1 - 3 Reims Ligue 2
Jan 29, 2022 Reims 1 - 1 Bastia Coupe de France
Final Verdict

ELITE: Reims to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Reims Power 42
Bastia Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Reims Position

+16

Position Gap

18

Bastia Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.