AI Match Insights
Ligue 2 Feb 06, 2026
Dunkerque
HomeVS
19:00
Guingamp
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dunkerque Win
Draw
Guingamp Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.66 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dunkerque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Guingamp Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
Dunkerque Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | Dunkerque vs Annecy | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Dunkerque vs Le Mans | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Dunkerque vs Pau FC | 3-1 |
| Jan 05 | Dunkerque vs Montpelli… | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Dunkerque vs Strasbourg | 2-1 |
| Dec 12 | Dunkerque vs Laval | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | Dunkerque vs Saint-Éti… | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Dunkerque vs Abbeville | 0-5 |
| Nov 21 | Dunkerque vs Rodez | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Dunkerque vs Boulogne | 2-2 |
Guingamp Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30 | Guingamp vs Montpelli… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Guingamp vs Estac Tro… | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Guingamp vs Nancy | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Guingamp vs Boulogne | 3-0 |
| Dec 19 | Guingamp vs Laval | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | Guingamp vs Rodez | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Guingamp vs Annecy | 0-3 |
| Nov 29 | Guingamp vs Ancienne … | 0-4 |
| Nov 22 | Guingamp vs Amiens | 1-2 |
| Nov 15 | Guingamp vs Saint-Col… | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Guingamp in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Dunkerque struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Guingamp | 2 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| May 14, 2025 | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 07, 2025 | Dunkerque | 3 - 1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Guingamp | 1 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 1 | Guingamp | Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Guingamp | 0 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| May 07, 2022 | Dunkerque | 1 - 3 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Guingamp | 2 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 05, 2021 | Guingamp | 0 - 0 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Dunkerque Power
41
Guingamp Power
35
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Dunkerque Position+1
Position Gap7
Guingamp Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.